As Russia is almost assuredly going to absorb part of Ukraine, the question arises if China will then attempt to take the Senkakus—or other islands. This is one of the messages this article is trying to portray. The other, I dislike as it showers a very negative light on the Russian interaction with Crimea.
The United States has stated it will “pivot” and “rebalance” towards the Asia-Pacific Theater, even while cutting back budgets and releasing the 2014 Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR)—in 88 pages, it only mentions “rebalance” 28 times, whereas sequestration is mentioned 54 times… Makes me wonder what the US is actually “focusing” on during this QDR 😉
Russia has already increased its focus on the East, building up Vladivostok, increasing military interactions with China, as well as increasing its economic (and hopefully strategic) ties with Japan. And while Russia is showing the world that it is by far down and out, interceding on behalf of Russian citizens in Crimea (however, they had a better argument in Georgia—country not the State). Had rioting reached Crimea and violence been ongoing against the citizens there, Russia would have had more evidence to support its case, but a super pre-emptive insertion of troops… well, I wasn’t there, I don’t know 😉
So, following Russia’s example… will China risk taking the Senkakus? Or forcefully taking any of the other islands in the South China Sea? In the case of Russia, they went in, took control and…. Waited. The west followed with sanctions and meetings… If China were to annex an island or two… will China also be the recipient of sanctions and meetings? Or would someone fight back against China because they aren’t the former Soviet Power many western countries still fear?
Would love some comments 😉
Read more @ http://onforb.es/1iiAA9K
QDR found here: http://1.usa.gov/1g3kmla
(Soviet Bear photo from http://hdphonewallpapers.com/ )
(Panda photos from http://www.cuteunion.com/ )